Tuesday, July 20, 2021

FREDcast for July 20th, 2021

Since stlouisfed is discontinuing FREDcast, I'll track my forecasts here. Since COVID, I haven't been doing very well, even though my final forecast, for June 2021, placed 7th on the Public Leader Board (before Real GDP Growth comes in). I'm in the process of refining my modeling.
| :UNRATE | 6.3 | UNRATE_M_Lpredict3 |
| :PAYEMS | 1614000 | PAYEMS_M_Lpredict6 |
| :GDPC1 | -0.3 | GDPC1_Q_Lpredict3 |
| :CPIAUCSL | 5.5 | CPIAUCSL_M_Lpredict1 |